Toms Brook: Demographics & People
439 people call Toms Brook home, in 152 households. Population grew 18.3% from 371 (2022) to 439 (2024). Median age 33.8 years. (9.1y younger than Shenandoah County; 4.0y younger than Virginia). Children under 18 are 24% of the population. Population is 86% White (non-Hispanic) and 8% Black. The community is relatively homogeneous (Simpson index 0.06). 72% of households are family-led. County is gaining 336 residents per year (2022-2023). County health: 38% adult obesity, 17% smoke.
- 2.9 people per household (vs Virginia avg 2.6).
- 28% non-family households (singles, roommates) (vs Virginia 35%).
- 60 dependents per 100 working-age (youth + seniors / 18-64) (vs Virginia 62).
Population & Trend
Population grew 18.3% from 371 (2022) to 439 (2024) — about 30.5× the recent U.S. annual rate of ~0.6%/yr. Estimated 2026 population: ~523 (extrapolated at 9.2%/yr trend). Census Bureau Vintage estimate: 650.
| Census data vintage | 2024 |
|---|---|
| Population | 44,186 people |
| Annual growth rate · Population change | 18.3% |
| Annual growth rate · Population (2022) | 371 |
| Annual growth rate · Population (2024) | 439 |
| Annual growth rate · Population growing | Yes |
| Annual growth rate · Trend category | booming |
| Population | 439 people (vs Virginia 42,214) |
| Population Estimate | 650 |
Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2023, Table B01003 · Refreshed 2026-04-12
Age Distribution
Median age 33.8y is 5.1 years younger than the U.S. median (38.9y). Children under 18 make up 24% — above the U.S. share of ~22%.
| Age Summary · Median age | 33.8 years (vs Virginia 37.8y) |
|---|---|
| Age Summary · Children Pct | 24.4% |
| Age Summary · Character | young professional |
| Age Summary · Total Pop | 439 |
| Age Summary · Under 18 | 107 |
| Age Summary · 18 To 34 | 126.0× |
| Age Summary · 35 To 64 | 148.0× |
| Age Summary · 65 Plus | 58 |
| Population under 18 | 107 |
| Median age | 33.8 years (vs Virginia 37.8y) |
Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2024 — place-level B01001 query · Census ACS 5-Year 2023 · Refreshed 2026-04-29
Race, Ethnicity & Diversity
Of 439 residents, race / ethnicity breaks down by Census ACS counts (a person can identify with one or more groups). The Simpson diversity index is 0.06 (0 = single group, 1 = perfectly even distribution); this is read as relatively homogeneous.
| White residents | 352 |
|---|---|
| Black residents | 9 |
| Hispanic or Latino residents | 2 |
| Diversity Index · Diversity index (Simpson) | 5.9% |
| Diversity Index · Diversity label | relatively homogeneous |
| Diversity Index · Groups counted | 3 |
| Diversity Index · Largest group share | 97.0% |
| Black population | 8.4% (vs Virginia 18.2%) |
| Hispanic or Latino population | 1.1% (vs Virginia 10.1%) |
| White (non-Hispanic) population | 85.6% (vs Virginia 53.8%) |
Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2023 · Refreshed 2026-04-12
Ancestry
Self-reported ancestry from Census ACS — what residents report as their ethnic origin, separate from race. Counts can exceed population because people can list multiple ancestries.
Top (8)
Citizenship & Origin
Where residents were born and their citizenship status (Census ACS).
| Residents born in this state | 351 |
|---|---|
| Residents born in another state | 88 |
| Share born in this state | 80.0% |
| Share born in another state | 20.0% |
| Native-born U.S. citizens | 20.0% |
| Total foreign-born residents | 5 |
Households & Family Composition
152 households. Averaging 2.7 people each — larger than the U.S. average of 2.5. 72% are family households — above the U.S. share of ~65%. Of 94 families, 15% are married couples with children.
| Children under 18 | 74 |
|---|---|
| Total families | 94 |
| Married couples with children | 14 |
| Single-parent households | 17 |
| Average household size | 2.67 |
| Women who gave birth (past year) | 18.7% |
| Grandparents living with grandchildren | 10 |
| Grandparents responsible for grandchildren | 1 |
| Family households | 109 households (vs Virginia 9,367) |
| Households that are families | 71.7% (vs Virginia 65.0%) |
| Total households | 152 households (vs Virginia 14,324) |
Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2023 · Refreshed 2026-04-12
Residential Stability & Migration
How long residents have lived here and where they came from. 12.4% moved within the county in the past year — the U.S. baseline is roughly 8–10%. The surrounding county is gaining 336 residents per year on net (IRS migration data).
| Moved within the county (past year) | 12.4% |
|---|---|
| Migration · People moving in (annual) | 42,505 |
| Migration · People moving out (annual) | 42,169 |
| Migration · Net migration (in − out) | 336 |
| Migration · Population growing | Yes |
| Migration · Year | 2022-2023 |
Sources: IRS SOI Migration 2021-2022 · Refreshed 2026-04-12
Disability
Census ACS measures self-reported functional limitations — vision, hearing, mobility, cognitive, self-care, or independent-living. The U.S. baseline disability rate is about 12–13%; rates trend higher with median age.
| Residents with a disability | 19 |
|---|---|
| Disability rate | 5.2% |
Other
| Congressional District · District | 6 |
|---|---|
| Congressional District · Formatted | VA-06 |
| Congressional District · Congress | 118th |
| Cdc Birth Rate · Fips | 51171 |
| Cdc Birth Rate · State Fips | 51 |
| Cdc Birth Rate · County Fips | 171 |
| Cdc Birth Rate · County | Shenandoah |
| Cdc Birth Rate · Birth Rate | 21.8% |
| Cdc Birth Rate · Lower Ci | 18.10 |
| Cdc Birth Rate · Upper Ci | 26.00 |
| Cdc Mortality · Fips | 51171 |
| Cdc Mortality · County | Shenandoah County |
| Cdc Mortality · Urban Rural | Noncore |
| Cdc Mortality · Total Deaths 2020 2023 | 1,650 |
| Cdc Vaccination · Fips | 51171 |
| Cdc Vaccination · County | Shenandoah County |
| Cdc Vaccination · Dose1 Pop Pct | 58.1% |
| Cdc Vaccination · Series Complete Pct | 50.9% |
| Cdc Vaccination · Booster Pct | 43.4% |
| Cdc Vaccination · Population 2019 | 43,616 |
| Cdc Vaccination · Metro Status | Non-metro |
| Family Score · Score | 4.50 |
| Family Score · Schools | 7 |
| Family Score · Children Pct | 24.4% |
| Family Score · Rating | fair |
| Town Summary · Key Facts | population 439, booming, young professional, middle-class, blue collar |
| Town Summary · Population | 439 people (vs Virginia 42,214) |
| Town Summary · County | Shenandoah County |
Sources: Census place-to-CD118 crosswalk (place_fips) · federal dataset cascade