Nokesville: Demographics & People
About 1,226 people live in Nokesville, in 563 households. Population grew 4.0% from 1,179 (2022) to 1,226 (2024). Median age 49.2 years. (12.9y older than Prince William County; 11.4y older than Virginia). Children under 18 are 16% of the population. Population is 76% White (non-Hispanic) and 12% Hispanic or Latino. The community is somewhat diverse (Simpson index 0.36). 63% of households are family-led. County is losing 8,300 residents per year (2022-2023). County health: 33% adult obesity, 12% smoke.
- 2.2 people per household (vs Virginia avg 2.6).
- 37% non-family households (singles, roommates) (vs Virginia 35%).
- 60 dependents per 100 working-age (youth + seniors / 18-64) (vs Virginia 62).
Population & Trend
Population grew 4.0% from 1,179 (2022) to 1,226 (2024) — about 6.7× the recent U.S. annual rate of ~0.6%/yr. Estimated 2026 population: ~1,275 (extrapolated at 2.0%/yr trend). Census Bureau Vintage estimate: 1,343.
| Census data vintage | 2024 |
|---|---|
| Population | 482,204 people |
| Annual growth rate · Population change | 4.0% |
| Annual growth rate · Population (2022) | 1,179 |
| Annual growth rate · Population (2024) | 1,226 |
| Annual growth rate · Population growing | Yes |
| Annual growth rate · Trend category | growing |
| Population | 1,226 people (vs Virginia 42,214) |
| Population Estimate | 1,343 |
Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2023, Table B01003 · Refreshed 2026-04-12
Age Distribution
Median age 49.2y is 10.3 years older than the U.S. median (38.9y). Children under 18 make up 16% — below the U.S. share of ~22%.
| Age Summary · Median age | 49.2 years (vs Virginia 37.8y) |
|---|---|
| Age Summary · Children Pct | 15.7% |
| Age Summary · Character | established |
| Age Summary · Total Pop | 1,226 |
| Age Summary · Under 18 | 192 |
| Age Summary · 18 To 34 | 228.0× |
| Age Summary · 35 To 64 | 540.0× |
| Age Summary · 65 Plus | 266 |
| Population under 18 | 192 |
| Median age | 49.2 years (vs Virginia 37.8y) |
Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2024 — place-level B01001 query · Census ACS 5-Year 2023 · Refreshed 2026-04-29
Race, Ethnicity & Diversity
Of 1,226 residents, race / ethnicity breaks down by Census ACS counts (a person can identify with one or more groups). The Simpson diversity index is 0.36 (0 = single group, 1 = perfectly even distribution); this is read as somewhat diverse.
| White residents | 952 |
|---|---|
| Black residents | 29 |
| Asian residents | 14 |
| Hispanic or Latino residents | 227 |
| Diversity Index · Diversity index (Simpson) | 35.8% |
| Diversity Index · Diversity label | somewhat diverse |
| Diversity Index · Groups counted | 4 |
| Diversity Index · Largest group share | 77.9% |
| Asian population | 6.9% (vs Virginia 5.6%) |
| Black population | 1.7% (vs Virginia 18.2%) |
| Hispanic or Latino population | 11.8% (vs Virginia 10.1%) |
| White (non-Hispanic) population | 75.9% (vs Virginia 53.8%) |
Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2023 · Refreshed 2026-04-12
Ancestry
Self-reported ancestry from Census ACS — what residents report as their ethnic origin, separate from race. Counts can exceed population because people can list multiple ancestries.
Top (8)
Citizenship & Origin
Where residents were born and their citizenship status (Census ACS). 4.2% are foreign-born — below the U.S. average of 13.9%. 7% have naturalized to U.S. citizenship.
| Residents born in this state | 538 |
|---|---|
| Residents born in another state | 550 |
| Share born in this state | 43.9% |
| Share born in another state | 56.1% |
| Native-born U.S. citizens | 44.9% |
| Foreign-born residents | 4.2% |
| Naturalized citizens | 7.1% |
| Total foreign-born residents | 68 |
Households & Family Composition
563 households. Averaging 2.2 people each — smaller than the U.S. average of 2.5. 63% are family households — below the U.S. share of ~65%. Of 341 families, 19% are married couples with children.
| Children under 18 | 155 |
|---|---|
| Total families | 341 |
| Married couples with children | 64 |
| Single-parent households | 8 |
| Average household size | 2.25 |
| Women who gave birth (past year) | 6.7% |
| Grandparents living with grandchildren | 8,337 |
| Grandparents responsible for grandchildren | 3,891 |
| Family households | 353 households (vs Virginia 9,367) |
| Households that are families | 62.7% (vs Virginia 65.0%) |
| Total households | 563 households (vs Virginia 14,324) |
Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2023 · Refreshed 2026-04-12
Residential Stability & Migration
How long residents have lived here and where they came from. The surrounding county is losing 8,300 residents per year on net (IRS migration data).
| Migration · People moving in (annual) | 493,472 |
|---|---|
| Migration · People moving out (annual) | 501,772 |
| Migration · Net migration (in − out) | -8,300 |
| Migration · Year | 2022-2023 |
Sources: IRS SOI Migration 2021-2022 · Refreshed 2026-04-12
Disability
Census ACS measures self-reported functional limitations — vision, hearing, mobility, cognitive, self-care, or independent-living. The U.S. baseline disability rate is about 12–13%; rates trend higher with median age.
| Residents with a disability | 93 |
|---|---|
| Disability rate | 6.4% |
Other
| Congressional District · District | 5 |
|---|---|
| Congressional District · Congress | 118th |
| Cdc Birth Rate · Fips | 51153 |
| Cdc Birth Rate · State Fips | 51 |
| Cdc Birth Rate · County Fips | 153 |
| Cdc Birth Rate · County | Prince William |
| Cdc Birth Rate · Birth Rate | 12.8% |
| Cdc Birth Rate · Lower Ci | 11.90 |
| Cdc Birth Rate · Upper Ci | 13.70 |
| Cdc Mortality · Fips | 51153 |
| Cdc Mortality · County | Prince William County |
| Cdc Mortality · Urban Rural | Large fringe metro |
| Cdc Mortality · Total Deaths 2020 2023 | 6,770 |
| Cdc Vaccination · Fips | 51153 |
| Cdc Vaccination · County | Prince William County |
| Cdc Vaccination · Dose1 Pop Pct | 91.8% |
| Cdc Vaccination · Series Complete Pct | 76.3% |
| Cdc Vaccination · Booster Pct | 46.6% |
| Cdc Vaccination · Population 2019 | 470,335 |
| Cdc Vaccination · Metro Status | Metro |
| Family Score · Score | 6.20 |
| Family Score · Schools | 6 |
| Family Score · Childcare Centers | 4 |
| Family Score · Youth Sports Orgs | 2 |
| Family Score · Children Pct | 15.7% |
| Family Score · Rating | good |
| Town Summary · Key Facts | population 1,226, growing, established, upper-middle, white collar |
| Town Summary · Population | 1,226 people (vs Virginia 42,214) |
| Town Summary · County | Prince William County |
Sources: NCES school congressional district assignment · federal dataset cascade