Modest Town: Demographics & People

Modest Town is home to 265 people, in 86 households. Population grew 9.1% from 243 (2022) to 265 (2024). Median age 41.0 years. (6.6y younger than Accomack County; 3.2y older than Virginia). Children under 18 are 39% of the population. Population is 91% White (non-Hispanic). The community is relatively homogeneous (Simpson index 0.00). 83% of households are family-led. County is gaining 155 residents per year (2022-2023). County health: 44% adult obesity, 22% smoke.

Population & Trend

Population grew 9.1% from 243 (2022) to 265 (2024) — about 15.1× the recent U.S. annual rate of ~0.6%/yr. Estimated 2026 population: ~289 (extrapolated at 4.5%/yr trend). Census Bureau Vintage estimate: 324.

Census data vintage2024
Population33,413 people
Annual growth rate · Population change9.1%
Annual growth rate · Population (2022)243
Annual growth rate · Population (2024)265
Annual growth rate · Population growingYes
Annual growth rate · Trend categorybooming
Population265 people (vs Virginia 42,214) population: 4 observations from 2026-04-17 to 2026-04-28
Population Estimate324

Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2023, Table B01003  ·  Refreshed 2026-04-12

Age Distribution

Median age 41.0y is 2.1 years older than the U.S. median (38.9y). Children under 18 make up 39% — above the U.S. share of ~22%.

Age Summary · Median age41.0 years (vs Virginia 37.8y)
Age Summary · Children Pct38.9%
Age Summary · Characterestablished
Age Summary · Total Pop265
Age Summary · Under 18103
Age Summary · 18 To 3414.0×
Age Summary · 35 To 6486.0×
Age Summary · 65 Plus62
Population under 18103
Median age41.0 years (vs Virginia 37.8y)

Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2024 — place-level B01001 query · Census ACS 5-Year 2023  ·  Refreshed 2026-04-29

Race, Ethnicity & Diversity

Of 265 residents, race / ethnicity breaks down by Census ACS counts (a person can identify with one or more groups). The Simpson diversity index is 0.00 (0 = single group, 1 = perfectly even distribution); this is read as relatively homogeneous.

White residents216
Diversity Index · Diversity labelrelatively homogeneous
Diversity Index · Groups counted1
Diversity Index · Largest group share100.0%
White (non-Hispanic) population90.9% (vs Virginia 53.8%)

Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2023  ·  Refreshed 2026-04-12

Ancestry

Self-reported ancestry from Census ACS — what residents report as their ethnic origin, separate from race. Counts can exceed population because people can list multiple ancestries.

Top (4)

(unnamed)
American
(unnamed)
English
(unnamed)
Irish
(unnamed)
German

Citizenship & Origin

Where residents were born and their citizenship status (Census ACS).

Residents born in this state136
Residents born in another state129
Share born in this state51.3%
Share born in another state48.7%
Native-born U.S. citizens48.7%
Total foreign-born residents2,476

Households & Family Composition

86 households. Averaging 3.7 people each — larger than the U.S. average of 2.5. 83% are family households — above the U.S. share of ~65%. Of 66 families, 42% are married couples with children.

Children under 1896
Total families66
Married couples with children28
Average household size3.68
Grandparents living with grandchildren816
Grandparents responsible for grandchildren270
Family households71 households (vs Virginia 9,367)
Households that are families82.6% (vs Virginia 65.0%)
Total households86 households (vs Virginia 14,324) total_households: 2 observations from 2026-04-23 to 2026-04-23

Sources: Census ACS 5-Year 2023  ·  Refreshed 2026-04-12

Residential Stability & Migration

How long residents have lived here and where they came from. 5.7% moved within the county in the past year — the U.S. baseline is roughly 8–10%. The surrounding county is gaining 155 residents per year on net (IRS migration data).

Moved within the county (past year)5.7%
Migration · People moving in (annual)29,426
Migration · People moving out (annual)29,271
Migration · Net migration (in − out)155
Migration · Population growingYes
Migration · Year2022-2023

Sources: IRS SOI Migration 2021-2022  ·  Refreshed 2026-04-12

Disability

Census ACS measures self-reported functional limitations — vision, hearing, mobility, cognitive, self-care, or independent-living. The U.S. baseline disability rate is about 12–13%; rates trend higher with median age.

Residents with a disability26
Disability rate11.5%

Other

Congressional District · District2
Congressional District · FormattedVA-02
Congressional District · Congress118th
Cdc Birth Rate · Fips51001
Cdc Birth Rate · State Fips51
Cdc Birth Rate · County Fips001
Cdc Birth Rate · CountyAccomack
Cdc Birth Rate · Birth Rate24.5%
Cdc Birth Rate · Lower Ci20.00
Cdc Birth Rate · Upper Ci29.80
Cdc Mortality · Fips51001
Cdc Mortality · CountyAccomack County
Cdc Mortality · Urban RuralNoncore
Cdc Mortality · Total Deaths 2020 20231,618
Cdc Vaccination · Fips51001
Cdc Vaccination · CountyAccomack County
Cdc Vaccination · Dose1 Pop Pct86.7%
Cdc Vaccination · Series Complete Pct76.8%
Cdc Vaccination · Booster Pct50.4%
Cdc Vaccination · Population 201932,316
Cdc Vaccination · Metro StatusNon-metro
Family Score · Score7.50
Family Score · Schools13
Family Score · Children Pct38.9%
Family Score · Ratingexcellent
Town Summary · Key Factspopulation 265, booming, established, affluent, service economy
Town Summary · Population265 people (vs Virginia 42,214)
Town Summary · CountyAccomack County

Sources: Census place-to-CD118 crosswalk (place_fips) · federal dataset cascade